Breaking News

56 percent of Americans think Obama will win 2012 presidential election

by Staff reporter
16 May 2012 | 1857 Views
Fifty-six percent of Americans think President Barack Obama will win the 2012 presidential election, compared with 36 percent who think Republican challenger Mitt Romney will win, according to the USA Today/Gallup poll released on Tuesday.

The May 10-13 poll also shows that 81 percent of Democrats predict Obama will win the November election, compared to 68 percent of Republicans who believe that Romney will win.

Among the independents, 58 percent believe that Obama will be successful in his bid to seek reelection, compared to 31 percent who predict a Romney win, the poll finds.

It is unclear why Americans are more inclined to predict an Obama win than a Romney victory, though the two virtually tied in the latest May 8-14 Gallup's election polling that showed Obama only leading by 46-45 percent to Romney.

It may be that American voters recognize the advantages Obama enjoys as the incumbent, and that historically, presidents seeking re-election usually win, the Gallup said in a report on the polling.

For example, in March 2004, when President George W. Bush and his Democratic challenger John Kerry were about tied in voter preferences, more said Bush (52 percent) than Kerry (42 percent) would win. Or, Americans may expect in the months between now and the election that conditions in the United States will improve, which would make the incumbent's re-election more certain.

Interestingly, a June 2008 Gallup poll found that 52 percent of American voters predicted Obama would win, compared to 41 percent who believed Republican challenger John McCain would prevail. By October 2008, weeks after the financial crisis, Americans were more certain Obama would win that election, 71 percent to 23 percent, the Gallup said.




Including the 2008 election, Americans' predictions of the four prior presidential elections were also generally accurate, the Gallup added.

The May 10-13 poll was based on telephone interviews conducted with 1,012 American adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. It has an error margin of about 4 percent.

Obama USA

Source: Xinhua

Will Grace succeed Robert Mugabe?

Yes
12.96%
No
85.19%
Not sure
1.85%
54

Comments

News Updates

Email:

Latest News

Crashed Air Algerie pilots asked to turn back - Paris - France said on...

by Staff Reporter | 28 July 2014 | 1054 Views

Nigeria shuts down, quarantines Lagos Ebola hospital - Lagos - The Nig...

by Staff Reporter | 28 July 2014 | 548 Views

'Anti-Corruption Commission will remain' - The Ministry of Home Affair...

by Staff Reporter | 28 July 2014 | 477 Views

Over 400 laws in need of re-aligning with the new constitution - The M...

by Staff Reporter | 28 July 2014 | 457 Views

Mugabe meets FRELIMO presidential hopeful

by Staff Reporter | 28 July 2014 | 1175 Views

Masvingo-Beitbridge highway accident death toll up to 16

by Staff Reporter | 28 July 2014 | 2326 Views

Nearly robbed 20km out of Harare - WhatsApp update

by Concerned Citizen | 28 July 2014 | 1854 Views

City council vehicle runs over baby - WhatsApp update

by Concerned Citizen | 28 July 2014 | 1261 Views

Obert Mpofu denies asking for bribe - The Minister of Transport and I...

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 2087 Views

Rioting residents burn down council vehicle (photos)

by Staff Reporter | 28 July 2014 | 2965 Views

SA Police launch operation to flush out illegal immigrants - Cape Town...

by Thabo Kunene | 28 July 2014 | 6188 Views

BAT Zimbabwe unit declares 100% dividend - BAT Zimbabwe, the Zimbabwe ...

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 1022 Views

Police roadblocks driven by Cash than Purpose - Police roadblocks whic...

by Suitable Kajau | 28 July 2014 | 1800 Views

Mbeki roped into Mugabe succession?

by Nancy Mabaya | 28 July 2014 | 5095 Views

15 die in Kombi crash along Masvingo-Beitbridge highway - WhatsApp update

by Concerned Citizens | 28 July 2014 | 5096 Views

Marvo Stationery workers continue to suffer - Editor,Marvo Stationery ...

by Concerned Marvo Workers | 28 July 2014 | 1400 Views

'Zanu-PF's relationship with China should be investigated'

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 2505 Views

'Popularity is different from power,' says Tsvangirai

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 3179 Views

Zapu seek correction of war 'distortions' - A clique of former liberat...

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 2089 Views

Mujuru skips Grace Mugabe birthday bash

by Staff Reporter | 28 July 2014 | 5080 Views

Trouble in paradise: Beyonce, Jay Z barely talking, claim

by Agencies | 28 July 2014 | 2545 Views

Tsvangirai's ex-general joins MDC Renewal

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 3470 Views

'Tsvangirai trying to return to government via dubious means'

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 2223 Views

Makorokoza axe colleague to death

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 1963 Views

Zanu-PF tense over Grace Mugabe

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 3614 Views

Mutumwa Mawere joins Tendai Biti

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 3640 Views

Dembare beat Caps United

by Eddie Chikamhi | 28 July 2014 | 1548 Views

Bosso, Bantu in a stalemate

by Sports reporter | 28 July 2014 | 1266 Views

'Mugabe promoting a culture of political dynasty,' says Biti

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 1501 Views

Mtukudzi doctorate 'null and void'

by Staff reporter | 28 July 2014 | 1907 Views

Entertainment

Gospel singer wants prostitution to be legalised - Controversial gospe...

by Staff reporter | 27 July 2014 | 2915 Views

Zimbabwean boy revels in Soul Brothers music

by Lovemore Dube | 26 July 2014 | 6217 Views

Carl Joshua Ncube to tour with brand new material - The brand new stan...

by Staff Reporter | 24 July 2014 | 910 Views

Macheso gears up for UK tours - In an apparent joint preparation for t...

by Entertainment reporters | 23 July 2014 | 1789 Views

DJ Munya is back - After a two-year hiatus, DJ Munya - real name Munya...

by Entertainment Reporter | 23 July 2014 | 3293 Views

White guy plays chitekete - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kp16XF-Tcf...

by Staff Reporter | 23 July 2014 | 5149 Views

Beyonce and Jay Z to separate - claims - Jay Z and Beyonce are reporte...

by Staff reporter | 22 July 2014 | 4201 Views