Opinion / Columnist
2+2=4 Only Zimbabwe needs evidence for this
23 Aug 2018 at 20:39hrs | Views
The just ended ConCourt proceedings has not only embarrassed ZEC/ZANU PF lawyers and statisticians but also the entire world. It was not proper for ZANU PF and ZEC lawyers to demand evidence to support that 2+2=4 just because they wanted to support ED and ZANU PF at the expense of the future of future generations. Statisticians and the rest of the world were watching the proceedings and the purpose of this piece is to advise ZEC and ZANU PF lawyers that they are dealing with intellectual Zimbabweans. The days of 10+4=40 are gone.
It is an open secret that statistics and mathematical principles are the voices of God. Neither ZEC nor ZANU PF can claim to be superior to statistics. The statisticians and the entire world wants to know what happened to almost 40,000 gap of votes that existed between parliamentary and presidential tallies? The learned Kanengoni and ZEC failed to respond to this.
The statisticians and the entire world want to know the actual figures for the presidential election? What should we trust, the ones announced on television, ZEC's CD or the 50.67% reduced for ED in favor of Nelson Chamisa? Who obstructed (between 40,000 to 60,000) teachers from voting during the voting day and Zimbabweans want to establish the motive behind. I believe that our judges are Christians/religious and should therefore stick to the truth from above.
This piece aims at attacking ZEC and ZANU PF lawyers for their role in misleading the Zimbabweans for the sake of placing democracy under the bus. I find it not fit to attack the Zimbabwe's ConCourt team before the announcement of their verdict because ZEC and ZANU PF lawyers may have lied to them. However, my attack to the judiciary will is reserved for a moment.
The probable father of genuine statistics is not ZANU PF but Fisher and Origen. Fisher is credited for coming up with the level of error (significance) of 0.05 in 1924 (the year R.G Mugabe was born) which the ZEC surpassed by a wide margin. Technically, if we are to use Fisher (1924)'s principle, ZEC lied that the reduction of ED's votes was a clerical error. I am convinced beyond doubt that the error was well calculated by ZED to take ED to a fake Canaan.
I therefore want to inform ZEC/ZANU PF and their allies that statistics are original/primary and a replica of residuals. How can learned lawyers accept the fact that ZEC's figures are not primary and original? It has been accepted by ZEC that they changed presidential results three times. Zimbabweans need to be informed of the actual primary data among the ones announced on TV, ZEC CD and the one reduced by ZEC outside the parameters of the law.
If we accept the notion that the statistics that were announced by ZEC are secondary, therefore the credentials of ConCourt judges in Africa including Zimbabwe should be reviewed. The Zimbabweans should educate me, are the results announced by ZEC secondary or primary? It is my belief that what ZEC announced was a true reflection of what is currently in the ballot boxes. It is therefore arrogant for ZEC and ZANU to claim that their data was not primary. They should take responsibility of their 'stool'.
I want to urge the ConCourt judges to be careful before declaring that the ZEC's data was secondary because they are definitely going set a wrong precedent.
Conclusion
The Chief Justice and the team should think outside the box and accept the fact that residuals just like ZEC's statistics is classified under primary data. They should get advice from statisticians, you cannot separate the residual from the figures documented on paper. There are allegations that Zimbabwe's total population is 15 million, is this a primary or secondary data? ED and Chamisa will come and go but the truth should remain.
My final submission to the Chief Justice of Zimbabwe and team is that, declaring ZEC's figures secondary is a grave mistake, the ZEC's data should be primary and final, because it is the data that is used to declare a president. Declaring the ZEC's data secondary means that the president is secondary as well and not primary.
However, the world was watching and I wish Chief Justice of Zimbabwe and the team the best.
Don Chigumba is a mixed methods research specialist, can be found on twitter @Donchigumba
It is an open secret that statistics and mathematical principles are the voices of God. Neither ZEC nor ZANU PF can claim to be superior to statistics. The statisticians and the entire world wants to know what happened to almost 40,000 gap of votes that existed between parliamentary and presidential tallies? The learned Kanengoni and ZEC failed to respond to this.
The statisticians and the entire world want to know the actual figures for the presidential election? What should we trust, the ones announced on television, ZEC's CD or the 50.67% reduced for ED in favor of Nelson Chamisa? Who obstructed (between 40,000 to 60,000) teachers from voting during the voting day and Zimbabweans want to establish the motive behind. I believe that our judges are Christians/religious and should therefore stick to the truth from above.
This piece aims at attacking ZEC and ZANU PF lawyers for their role in misleading the Zimbabweans for the sake of placing democracy under the bus. I find it not fit to attack the Zimbabwe's ConCourt team before the announcement of their verdict because ZEC and ZANU PF lawyers may have lied to them. However, my attack to the judiciary will is reserved for a moment.
The probable father of genuine statistics is not ZANU PF but Fisher and Origen. Fisher is credited for coming up with the level of error (significance) of 0.05 in 1924 (the year R.G Mugabe was born) which the ZEC surpassed by a wide margin. Technically, if we are to use Fisher (1924)'s principle, ZEC lied that the reduction of ED's votes was a clerical error. I am convinced beyond doubt that the error was well calculated by ZED to take ED to a fake Canaan.
If we accept the notion that the statistics that were announced by ZEC are secondary, therefore the credentials of ConCourt judges in Africa including Zimbabwe should be reviewed. The Zimbabweans should educate me, are the results announced by ZEC secondary or primary? It is my belief that what ZEC announced was a true reflection of what is currently in the ballot boxes. It is therefore arrogant for ZEC and ZANU to claim that their data was not primary. They should take responsibility of their 'stool'.
I want to urge the ConCourt judges to be careful before declaring that the ZEC's data was secondary because they are definitely going set a wrong precedent.
Conclusion
The Chief Justice and the team should think outside the box and accept the fact that residuals just like ZEC's statistics is classified under primary data. They should get advice from statisticians, you cannot separate the residual from the figures documented on paper. There are allegations that Zimbabwe's total population is 15 million, is this a primary or secondary data? ED and Chamisa will come and go but the truth should remain.
My final submission to the Chief Justice of Zimbabwe and team is that, declaring ZEC's figures secondary is a grave mistake, the ZEC's data should be primary and final, because it is the data that is used to declare a president. Declaring the ZEC's data secondary means that the president is secondary as well and not primary.
However, the world was watching and I wish Chief Justice of Zimbabwe and the team the best.
Don Chigumba is a mixed methods research specialist, can be found on twitter @Donchigumba
Source - Don Chigumba
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