Transitional government is on cards

As a researcher and academic analyst it is very crucial to be always ahead on events taking place in the country. I think Mugabe should have seen this coming. The army has an advantage because the civilians are fed up with what is taking place in this country, and it is most likely that there will be a joint venture between the military and civilian in terms of ideas and views on how to take this country forward. These are the results of overstaying in power and probably Mugabe has destroyed his own legacy. I don't see Mugabe recovering on this one because he has already destroyed his own legacy, and history will always re-write itself and repeating itself as well. Our politics has been so much toxic and polarized to and extend that healing and reconciliation is ideal through a carefully chosen transitional authority. I've been assessing the political situation on the ground and it is very clear that the civilian is in support of what the army has finally done.

The Zimbabwe Defense Forces Commander has assured the nation that the nation will return to normalcy and he also reiterated that the army is there to protect the civilian authority from the G40 cabals who were busy looting from national coffers. What you should take note of is that Mugabe surrounded himself with people who have been looting from national coffers and pocketing from crucial projects which were supposed to benefit the nation, and this was a cause of concern from every civilian. Mugabe has been at the helm of both Zanu PF and the national Government of Zimbabwe, and he lost the power grip a long time ago, and one thing I've realized is that Mugabe was being fed wrong information by his advisors on what was exactly on the ground. Most of these G40 close associates were much concerned by lining their pockets only at the expense of the whole nation. Here are some of the reasons which might have caused this situation

1. Kudzai Chipanga's remarks

2. Jonathan Moyo's continued twitter ranting

3. Sabotaging ED's close business links and sidelining his allies economically

4. Failure by Mugabe to reprimand the youth League and his wife

5. The dynasty and recent cabinet reshuffle

6. The sacking of the VP of the country

7. The continued public humiliation of ED and his wife

8. Economic hardships

9. General sentiments of the public that Mugabe and the G40 have destroyed the economy

10. Attempt to install Grace Mugabe as the VP of the country

Given the respect that Tsvangirai has on the international community as a democrat, I for see ED roping in the former PM for legitimacy purpose and also for gaining respect on the international community. If you remember very well ED would not want to be labeled as a one man band so he would bring in Tsvangirai on board for legitimacy purpose. It is high unlikely that we will have elections in this country, considering the tension that is there already, it would be wise for ED to rule for one term and call for elections and he will leave a good legacy. I don't see elections taking place soon in Zimbabwe. These are the results of overstaying in power. Most likely a transitional Government is likely to be in place, and Emmerson Mnangagwa will be heading it. Tsvangirai will come in as the new Prime Minister of that arrangement heading Government operations. Mujuru could as well deputize the Head of State.

Dabengwa may come in the second Vice President, and Khupe and Mudzuri may come in as deputy Prime Ministers. Chamisa may come in as the new Finance Minister, and Biti may take up the Justice ministry. ED is a reformer, and he will try to prove to the international community that he is more of democratic and he would not want to paint a picture that he is the same with Mugabe. ED proved to the world that he is more democratic and a good business man who can run the country from a good perspective point of view. Mzembi can be a good moderator; he can also be joined by the likes of Wadyajena, Larry Muvhima, Jacob Mafume and others as well. I think with people like Mutsvangwa, this country can move to another level. Remember we have spent over a decade in economic turmoil, and going for elections now will increase tension and looking at the economic point of view it is not necessary. As a research and academic analyst, I think a transitional authority is a better move which restore order and normalcy in the country.

Tinashe Eric Muzamhindo writes in his personal capacity as the head of SIPAR TRUST (Southern Institute of Policy Analysis and Research) which is responsible for Policy Research and Analysis. He is also an academic and development analyst. He holds a B.A from Solusi University, M.A Solusi University and another M.A from University of Lusaka, Zambia. Currently he is enrolled for PHD in Development Studies at University of Kwazulu.He can be contacted at southerninstitutepar@gmail.com