Pan African Forum Limited Survey Results Misleading & Bogus

Let me take this opportunity to denounce the fake survey results published by a bogus company called Pan African Forum Limited based in Kenya. According to the fake survey results, if elections were to be held today, Emerson Mnangagwa  would lead by 70% followed by Nelson Chamisa 24%, Joyce Mujuru 1% and Welshman Ncube 1%. The Herald has already declared ED the president basing on these fake results and its editors are already celebrating on twitter and cross social platforms.

The Chairperson of Pan African Forum Limited is alleged to be Dr. David Nyekorach-Matsanga and is claiming to be residing in Kenya. For more details about Dr. Matsanga and his evil work, visit their website on  http://www.panafricanforumltd.com/ . On their website Pan African Forum Limited publishes political articles mainly denouncing Raila Odinga  and the opposition in Kenya.

On the same website, they recently published an article titled 'Fake Foreign Observers Might Create Havoc in Zimbabwe July Election'. In this article, he had a personal attack on MDC just before publishing the fake survey results, Dr. Matsanga claimed;

"The MDC  machinery is so feeble, ideologically-bankrupt, insanely corrupt and enmeshed in total disarray that the best they can do is to add statistics of presence in the Presidential ballot paper, nothing more".

For more details on Pan African Forum's attack on MDC, visit their web and read on your own. Soon after publishing their articles castigating Nelson Chamisa, Rorbert Mugabe and MDC. Pan African Forum Limited published fake survey results claiming that ED would lead in 2018 elections by 70% if they were to be conducted today.

The article of Pan African Forum Limited and Dr. Matsanga castigating MDC has exposed the organization and its survey results as bogus. This (Dr. Matsanga) has compromised the credibility, dependability and conformability of their so called 'survey results'. These results should not be accepted and tolerated at all because they are fake and poisonous.

However, apart from the questions raised against the organization and Matsanga, the results published by Pan African Forum  Limited have a lot of inconsistencies and gaps that I want you to know.  There are a lot of issues that are not adding up.

There is evidence that stratified sampling was only done to demarcate the study areas by provinces. The only data which they supplied was the number of registered voters by provinces, however, they did not provide results on how people voted within provinces. What they only told us was that ED got 70% without going to the details of how people voted for ED in each and every province.

Furthermore, there is no evidence that stratification was done within provinces and we would expect to get information on how stratified sampling was done in each and every province that is why data on how people voted in each and every province is missing.

The other key component of political surveys is on location based on rural and urban, there is no data on how the people voted basing on rural and urban. We do not know what ED got in urban or rural.

What was shocking was the observation that the undecided voters were 2%-3% of the total registered voters, what it means is that if the elections are to be held today, 98% voter-turnout would be recorded. This is not feasible and if you check political survey results worldwide, the undecided voters should be well above 20%  because the date for elections is still too far. Pan African Forum Limited should agree that they cheated these figures because the number of undecided vote is not feasible.

Welshman Ncube appeared in the list of the presidential candidates despite the fact that the voters are aware that he was not going to contest for this coming elections as a president. It is surprising to note that, some voters voted for someone who declared that he is not going to run in 2018 elections as a president. I am therefore not going to be surprised if Morgan Tsvangirai's name will appear as a leading presidential candidate  in their next/coming survey.
All in all, the survey results are fake and bogus, there is no data showing how people voted according to age and gender. This bogus organization should declare its interests in Zimbabwe elections.
 
Conclusion  
The chairperson of Pan African Forum Limited Dr. Matanga  is found on twitter at @MatsangaDr and on facebook as Matsanga David, may you please send to him this message; "Go back to Kenya and eat bread there, we do not want you in Zimbabwe"

Don Chigumba is a mixed methods research specialist , can be found on twitter @Donchigumba