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Did war vets collapse Zimdollar?

03 Jun 2023 at 08:19hrs | Views
I HEAR many Zimbabweans suggesting that Zimbabwe was driven to bankruptcy and the crash of the dollar by paying war veterans in 1997.

However, this perception is wrong because Zimbabwe printed and paid $50 000 in local currency, to around 30 000 to 60 000 war veterans, which constituted a worst-case scenario payment of only 3% of gross domestic product (GDP).

In comparison, the United States passed the #GIBill in 1944, which paid for the education fees, housing, healthcare and allowances for over 16 million World War II veterans, to help them reintegrate into the country after the war.

This was the equivalent of 15% of US GDP, but it did not lead to the crash of the US currency.

At the time of the GI Bill's passing, approximately 70% of universities and vocational training college attendees, were US veterans whose fees were being paid by the US government.

Hence, why should Zimbabwe's payment of 3% of its GDP in compensating war veterans lead to the collapse of the currency when the US compensation of 15% of its GDP to its veterans did not result in a currency crash?

Moreover, what many may not know is that by the time government paid the war vets, it had already been paying over US$25 million a year in pensions — in foreign currency — to former Rhodesian soldiers and another $25 million a year to 2 000 Rhodesian civil servants, since 1980.

This adds up to more than US$1,1 billion by 2003 (US$2,1 billion today) when the government stopped making those payments.

Even today, the British government is still seeking about US$25 million per year for its 2 000 pensioners from the Zimbabwean government.

Despite Zimbabwe having paid a hefty US$850 million in foreign currency pension payments to Rhodesians by #BlackFriday, Zimbabweans still continue to blame the fall of the dollar on the compensation of war veterans with the Zimdollar equivalent of US$240 million.

This argument is flawed because the reasons behind the fall of the Zimdollar on Black Friday, 1997, were due to various factors.

These include the pullout of $3,8 billion in foreign investments from the western-dominated Zimbabwean financial markets, after war veterans received their gratuities and were further promised 20% of all appropriated land in land reform.

White capital pulled out on Black Friday to punish the Zimbabwean government for compensating war veterans and planning to take white land to give to the war veterans as well.

The white community understood the power the war veterans and their leader Chenjerai Hunzvi wielded to push government to do what they want.

So they were pushing back to demonstrate their capacity to crash the economy if they did not get their way.

But they made a blunder because then President, the late Robert Mugabe called their bluff and they ultimately lost everything to indigenisation.

We should learn from #BlackFriday, that despite Zimbabwe being open for business, let us not allow our economy to be monopolised by foreigners who can sabotage it, as they did on Black Friday.

Instead, let us advocate for a predominantly locally-owned economy.

So, Zimbabweans who believe that the economy collapsed in 1997 due to war veterans (who secured the country's independence) being paid in local currency forget that what war veterans were paid was the equivalent of just 30% of the US$850 million pension payments, made to Rhodesian soldiers and civil servants in 17 years of independence.

They also overlook that Zimbabwe inherited and repaid $700 million (US$2,8 billion today) Rhodesian debt after independence; it spent US$3,8 billion (US$11,2 billion today) fighting the apartheid government; it had to borrow US$3,5 billion (US$11 billion) to develop electricity, roads, schools and hospitals that the coloniser never constructed; it lost over $3 billion in industry to the Economic Structural Adjustment Programme and it borrowed US$400 million in high interest loans from the International Monetary Fund and World Bank for 1992 drought relief.

These factors are among many which broke Zimbabwe's currency.

Source - newsday
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